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245 0 _a
_aGlobal dynamics :
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_bapproaches from complexity science /
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_cedited by Sir Alan Wilson
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_aChichester, West Sussex, UK :
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_bJohn Wiley & Sons,
_c[2016]46
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_a1 online resource.
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_aWiley series in computational and quantitative social science
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_c56
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_aGlobal dynamics and the tools of complexity science / Alan Wilson -- The global trade system and its evolution / Simone Caschili, Francesca Medda and Luca Coconcelli -- A multi-layer model of international trade / Simone Caschili, Francesca Medda and Alan Wilson -- An inter-national global input-output model / Rob Levy, Thomas Oleron Evans, Alan Wilson -- Modelling and policy challenges / Adam Dennett and Pablo Mateos -- Inter-regional migration in Europe / Adam Dennett and Alan Wilson -- Global migration flows : estimating an annual time series of global migration flows : an alternative methodology for using migrant stock data / Adam Dennett -- Conflict modelling / Peter Baudains and Alan Wilson -- Riots / Peter Baudains -- Rebellions / Peter Baudains, Jyoti Belur, Alex Braithwaite, Elio Marchione and Shane Johnson -- Piracy / Elio Marchione and Alan Wilson -- Insurgency / Shane Johnson, Alex Braithwaite -- International information flows, government response, and the contagion of ethnic conflict / Janina Beiser -- International development aid : a complex system / Belinda Wu -- Model-building for the system international development aid / Belinda Wu and Alan Wilson -- Aid allocation / Robert Downes and Steven Bishop -- Modelling and exploring global policy challenges / Peter Baudains, Thomas Oleron-Evans, Rob Levy and Alan Wilson
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_aA world model: economies, trade, migration, security and development aid. This bookprovides the analytical capability to understand and explore the dynamics of globalisation. It is anchored in economic input-output models of over 200 countries and their relationships through trade, migration, security and development aid. The tools of complexity science are brought to bear and mathematical and computer models are developed both for the elements and for an integrated whole. Models are developed at a variety of scales ranging from the global and international trade through a European model of inter-sub-regional migration to piracy in the Gulf and the London riots of 2011. The models embrace the changing technology of international shipping, the impacts of migration on economic development along with changing patterns of military expenditure and development aid. A unique contribution is the level of spatial disaggregation which presents each of 200+ countries and their mutual interdependencies - along with some finer scale analyses of cities and regions. This is the first global model which offers this depth of detail with fully work-out models, these provide tools for policy making at national, European and global scales. Global dynamics: -Presents in depth models of global dynamics. -Provides a world economic model of 200+ countries and their interactions through trade, migration, security and development aid. -Provides pointers to the deployment of analytical capability through modelling in policy development. -Features a variety of models that constitute a formidable toolkit for analysis and policy development. -Offers a demonstration of the practicalities of complexity science concepts. This book is for practitioners and policy analysts as well as those interested in mathematical model building and complexity science as well as advanced undergraduate and postgraduate level students.
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_xMathematical models.;Mathematical models.;Mathematical models.
_aGeography;International trade;Emigration and immigration
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